3.7 Million Dollar River Card In WSOP (Hand Analysis)

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This is the 2017 WSOP final final table and only two remaining players. The top above $ 3,686,865 will ride the Doug Poker polka ride itself or high pole pro-Bertrand ‘Elky’ GrosPellier. Doug sat on a stack of 37.6 million chips (47bb) while Elky had 27.4 million chips (34BB). Doug is on the button and posted a small blind 400k and Elky posted 800K blind. (Note: The flow of this final table mistakenly shows the curtain at 300k / 600k.)

Preflop.

Doug was handled Q  J  and opened actions with an increase to 1.9 million. Elky defended his blindness with J  T . Pot is 4 million.

Preflop analysis.
Both of these actions are standard. It should be noted that the two players will play a very broad range in this place. Doug will increase 65% or more (maybe more) than his hand in the depth of this stack. This means Elky must defend the blind person with the majority of his ownership too, especially considering the chance of his great pot. Doug will generally increase to close to the minimum in standard heads-up matches, but this is a tournament with 100k ante posted by every player. Juice Juice Antes is a pan and forces Doug to raise a slightly larger size (~ 2.4bb). If this tournament has a large blind pole, there will be 600 thousand extra in the pot and Doug will adjust to raise even bigger.

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Failure.

The flop is handled by J  T  4 . Elky checked into doug which continued betting 2 million chips. Elky check-upse became 6.2 million and Doug’s call.

FLOP analysis.
Doug will bet with a very broad range on this board because this type of high board is beneficial for him. The couple over a good kicker is, of course, separate from the range and good hands to put bets. Elky had to call with many hands worse considering the range of the range and the pot. Elkyy’s decision was a little more interesting. His hands blocked a lot of doug’s continuation ranges (such as AJ, KJ, and QJ), so you can make a case to play slowly. However, Doug still has a number of other hands with proper equity against the top two pairs that will call. Increased examination has several potential benefits. It made Doug pay to look at his turn with his hand that had the equity versus the top two pairs, or made Doug surrender his equity by folding. Both of these things are good for Elky and make check-enhancing the game being liked here. Doug check call also standard. Elky has many draws within its reach by which he can examine it, and Doug’s handle is too high in its reach to consider folding. All in all, both players played flops well. To turn.

Turn.

Dealers change 8 , make boards J  T  4  8 . The pan is 16.45 million chips. Elky bet 8.8 million (leaving only more than 10 million chips) and Doug made a call.
Turn Analysis.
Elky still has a very strong hand who wants to get the value of his opponent, so the stake is standard. With only ~ 1.1 the size of a pot behind, he can choose the urge, but he decides to go for a non-all-in bet worth around 60% of the pot – reasonable size. Doug is placed in a difficult place. He does have some better hands in his reach to continue. However, if he just calls with two pairs, set, and straight, he will multiply significantly. Doing that will only make sense if Elky is rarely encouraging in this place, which is possible, but it is impossible to consider Elky’s background as a successful online player. This means Doug must continue with some of his hands one hand.

The question is the best to do? This is a situation where Elky is very unlikely to have one hand a better partner. He has two partners or better, or snapping. In situations where your opponents have you are destroyed or bullying, the absolute value of your hand is less than the removal of your hand. In this case Doug can have a AA or KK bag, which is better than the QJ in terms of absolute strength. However, QJ is a preferred call for two reasons:

  • Blocker. Doug has a queen makes it less likely Elky has Q9 for a straight. Likewise, the jack reduces elky’s chances of having two couples.
  • Backup equity. Even if he was behind, Doug’s QJ had a straight gut lottery.

These two factors make QJ one of the best one hand in pairs to continue. So, even though it’s not a great situation for him, Doug’s call is right.

River.

The river brings Q  Make the final board J  T  4  8  Q . This pan is 34 million chips and elky decides to check.

River Analysis
Check Elky is very reasonable. If he pushed, he would almost never be called with a worse hand or impose folds from a better hand. Doug’s decision to bet or check behind close, but the examination is likely much better. He might get Elky’s special hand to call, but Elky could even find the fold here with flush and 4-straight finished. Doug’s Shove can also appreciate him with hands like a set of four or nine (although Elky might drive most of his narrowness on the river).

RESULTS
Doug checked back to the river and took a pot with two superior couples. He proceeded to win the tournament, which was recorded for Vlog on his YouTube channel (note Vlog here).

Last thought

Even when Doug and Ryan Fee analyzed this hand for the lab upswing, they did not fully agree. This shows, poker is a game that is far from solved!

 

Have you played this hand differently in the player's shoes? Tell us in the comments!